Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.917132 2.197769 2.507658 2.875641 3.301241 3.778659 4.355728
2025-06-01 1.496307 1.873979 2.331429 2.928178 3.688922 4.630041 5.888406
2025-06-08 1.274343 1.694180 2.235602 2.988828 4.015773 5.375793 7.328065
2025-06-15 1.103363 1.539090 2.130177 2.996667 4.244793 5.993149 8.655205
2025-06-22 0.953782 1.385718 1.997406 2.935082 4.351043 6.432981 9.769550
2025-06-29 0.843104 1.269975 1.898057 2.900112 4.478829 6.903826 10.975136
2025-07-06 0.746945 1.162178 1.794498 2.840373 4.552696 7.289754 12.084752
2025-07-13 0.714037 1.146550 1.827625 2.994641 4.978865 8.277645 14.305870
2025-07-20 0.654932 1.081607 1.773898 2.998301 5.152099 8.862191 15.906872
2025-07-27 0.620181 1.052349 1.774123 3.090486 5.483950 9.752342 18.167600
2025-08-03 0.574532 0.999358 1.727919 3.094725 5.656944 10.375332 20.008655
2025-08-10 0.529931 0.943407 1.670332 3.070772 5.772728 10.901873 21.727367
2025-08-17 0.474359 0.866649 1.575764 2.983254 5.788339 11.299226 23.377148
2025-08-24 0.442414 0.830791 1.553857 3.035379 6.092202 12.323000 26.544966
2025-08-31 0.415588 0.801086 1.539275 3.098500 6.424620 13.449438 30.127403
2025-09-07 0.385568 0.761519 1.500560 3.106638 6.641498 14.361107 33.383841
2025-09-14 0.351531 0.710008 1.431940 3.042661 6.692031 14.913665 35.890801
2025-09-21 0.323973 0.668701 1.379436 3.006334 6.798261 15.605656 38.860011
2025-09-28 0.297072 0.625850 1.318895 2.944279 6.835984 16.141678 41.529602
2025-10-05 0.291252 0.627587 1.354136 3.104533 7.422721 18.088094 48.271500
2025-10-12 0.273488 0.601113 1.324266 3.108336 7.627645 19.115566 52.706899
2025-10-19 0.263904 0.591973 1.332332 3.204107 8.077113 20.839208 59.447637
2025-10-26 0.248779 0.568507 1.304800 3.208511 8.290832 21.972061 64.684171